SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | France | 6 | 12 | 18 |
| 2 | Greece | 7 | 6 | 12 |
| 3 | Netherlands | 6 | 3 | 12 |
| 4 | Republic of Ireland | 7 | 0 | 6 |
| 5 | Gibraltar | 6 | -21 | 0 |
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | France | 6 | 12 | 18 |
| 2 | Greece | 7 | 6 | 12 |
| 3 | Netherlands | 6 | 3 | 12 |
| 4 | Republic of Ireland | 7 | 0 | 6 |
| 5 | Gibraltar | 6 | -21 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France win with a probability of 99.47%. A draw had a probability of 0.5% and a win for Gibraltar had a probability of 0.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a France win was 5-0 with a probability of 15.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 6-0 (14.71%) and 4-0 (13.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (0.34%), while for a Gibraltar win it was 0-1 (0.03%). The actual scoreline of 14-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that France would win this match.
| Result | ||
| France | Draw | Gibraltar |
99.47% ( -0.01) | 0.5% ( 0.01) | 0.03% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 7.25% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 92.29% ( -0.21) | 7.71% ( 0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 81.92% ( -0.41) | 18.08% ( 0.41) |
| France Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 99.64% ( -0.01) | 0.36% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 97.6% ( -0.07) | 2.4% ( 0.08) |
| Gibraltar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 7.27% ( -0.19) | 92.73% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 0.27% ( -0.02) | 99.73% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| France | Draw | Gibraltar |
| 5-0 @ 15.71% ( 0.1) 6-0 @ 14.71% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 13.98% ( 0.18)7-0 @ 11.81% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 9.96% ( 0.2)8-0 @ 8.3% ( -0.12)2-0 @ 5.32% ( 0.14)9-0 @ 5.18% ( -0.11)10-0 @ 2.91% ( -0.08)1-0 @ 1.89% ( 0.06)11-0 @ 1.49% ( -0.05)5-1 @ 1.19% ( -0.02)6-1 @ 1.11% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.02)Other @ 4.85% Total : 99.45% | Other @ 0.5% Total : 0.5% | Other @ 0.03% Total : 0.03% |
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