SM
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Belgium | 7 | 13 | 17 |
| 2 | Austria | 7 | 8 | 16 |
| 3 | Sweden | 6 | 3 | 7 |
| 4 | Azerbaijan | 6 | -8 | 4 |
| 5 | Estonia | 6 | -16 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austria win with a probability of 58.16%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Estonia had a probability of 17.69%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austria win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.83%) and 1-2 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.29%), while for a Estonia win it was 1-0 (6.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Austria in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Austria.
| Result | ||
| Estonia | Draw | Austria |
17.69% ( -0.1) | 24.14% ( -0.04) | 58.16% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 44.57% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.75% ( 0.01) | 55.25% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.52% ( 0.01) | 76.48% ( -0) |
| Estonia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.92% ( -0.12) | 45.08% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19% ( -0.1) | 81% ( 0.1) |
| Austria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.16% ( 0.06) | 18.84% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.72% ( 0.1) | 50.28% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Estonia | Draw | Austria |
| 1-0 @ 6.77% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 4.5% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 2.7% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 1.2% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.54% Total : 17.69% | 1-1 @ 11.29% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.49% ( -0)2-2 @ 3.76% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.6% Total : 24.14% | 0-1 @ 14.17% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 11.83% ( 0.04)1-2 @ 9.43% ( -0)0-3 @ 6.59% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 5.25% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 2.75% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 2.19% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.09% ( -0)0-5 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.95% Total : 58.16% |
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