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J1 League | Gameweek 4
Mar 16, 2024 at 4am UK
Level-5 stadium

Avispa Fukuoka
1 - 3
FC Tokyo

Matsuoka (82')
Mae (14'), Shigemi (64'), Maejima (90')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Nagatomo (28'), Araki (32'), Bangunagande (57')
Koizumi (45+1'), Anzai (90+3')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Avispa Fukuoka and FC Tokyo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 1-1 Shonan Bellmare
Saturday, March 9 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: FC Tokyo 1-2 Vissel Kobe
Saturday, March 9 at 7am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Avispa Fukuoka win with a probability of 36.14%. A win for FC Tokyo had a probability of 33.56% and a draw had a probability of 30.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Avispa Fukuoka win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.13%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest FC Tokyo win was 0-1 (12.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.

Result
Avispa FukuokaDrawFC Tokyo
36.14% (0.0080000000000027 0.01) 30.3% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 33.56% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Both teams to score 41.29% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
33.92% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)66.08% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.36% (0.0040000000000013 0)84.64% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Avispa Fukuoka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.16% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)34.84% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.42% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)71.58% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
FC Tokyo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.37% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)36.63% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.59% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)73.41%
Score Analysis
    Avispa Fukuoka 36.14%
    FC Tokyo 33.55%
    Draw 30.3%
Avispa FukuokaDrawFC Tokyo
1-0 @ 13.45%
2-1 @ 7.13% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 7.09% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 2.5% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 2.49% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.26% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 36.14%
1-1 @ 13.51%
0-0 @ 12.76%
2-2 @ 3.58% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 30.3%
0-1 @ 12.81% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.79%
0-2 @ 6.44% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 2.27%
0-3 @ 2.16% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 33.55%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 1-1 Shonan Bellmare
Saturday, March 9 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Yokohama 0-1 Avispa Fukuoka
Friday, March 1 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 0-0 Consadole
Saturday, February 24 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 0-1 Hiroshima
Sunday, December 3 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Urawa 2-3 Avispa Fukuoka
Saturday, November 25 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Gamba Osaka 1-2 Avispa Fukuoka
Saturday, November 11 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: FC Tokyo 1-2 Vissel Kobe
Saturday, March 9 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: FC Tokyo 1-1 Hiroshima
Saturday, March 2 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Cerezo 2-2 FC Tokyo
Saturday, February 24 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Shonan Bellmare 0-1 FC Tokyo
Sunday, December 3 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: FC Tokyo 1-3 Consadole
Saturday, November 25 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Albirex Niigata 0-0 FC Tokyo
Saturday, November 11 at 5am in J1 League


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