Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Tokyo win with a probability of 44.55%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Tokyo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.85%) and 2-1 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.99%), while for an Avispa Fukuoka win it was 0-1 (9.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
FC Tokyo	Draw	Avispa Fukuoka
44.55% ( 0.5)	28.05% ( 0.57)	27.4% ( -1.08)

Both teams to score 45.04% (

-2.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.56% (

-2.47)

60.44% (

2.47)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.42% (

-1.91)

80.57% (

1.91)

FC Tokyo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.96% (

-0.88)

27.04% (

0.89)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.59% (

-1.17)

62.4% (

1.17)

Avispa Fukuoka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.73% (

-2.23)

38.26% (

2.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.97% (

-2.21)

75.02% (

2.21)

Score Analysis

FC Tokyo 44.55%

Avispa Fukuoka 27.4%

Draw 28.03%

FC Tokyo	Draw	Avispa Fukuoka
1-0 @ 13.53% ( 0.89) 2-0 @ 8.85% ( 0.37) 2-1 @ 8.5% ( -0.15) 3-0 @ 3.86% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 3.71% ( -0.16) 3-2 @ 1.78% ( -0.19) 4-0 @ 1.26% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.09) Other @ 1.86% Total : 44.55%	1-1 @ 12.99% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 10.34% ( 0.91) 2-2 @ 4.08% ( -0.33) Other @ 0.62% Total : 28.03%	0-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.32) 1-2 @ 6.24% ( -0.34) 0-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 2% ( -0.24) 0-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.14) 2-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.2) Other @ 1.6% Total : 27.4%