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J1 League | Gameweek 26
Sep 3, 2023 at 11am UK
Ajinomoto Stadium

FC Tokyo
1 - 2
Avispa Fukuoka

Kumata (86')
Nagatomo (32'), Trevisan (53')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Sato (2'), Yamagishi (11')
Maejima (47')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between FC Tokyo and Avispa Fukuoka.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: FC Tokyo 2-2 Vissel Kobe
Saturday, August 26 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 2-0 Avispa Fukuoka
Saturday, August 26 at 11am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Tokyo win with a probability of 44.55%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Tokyo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.85%) and 2-1 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.99%), while for an Avispa Fukuoka win it was 0-1 (9.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
FC TokyoDrawAvispa Fukuoka
44.55% (0.503 0.5) 28.05% (0.575 0.57) 27.4% (-1.075 -1.08)
Both teams to score 45.04% (-2.192 -2.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.56% (-2.467 -2.47)60.44% (2.47 2.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.42% (-1.905 -1.91)80.57% (1.909 1.91)
FC Tokyo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.96% (-0.884 -0.88)27.04% (0.887 0.89)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.59% (-1.17 -1.17)62.4% (1.172 1.17)
Avispa Fukuoka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.73% (-2.226 -2.23)38.26% (2.23 2.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.97% (-2.207 -2.21)75.02% (2.21 2.21)
Score Analysis
    FC Tokyo 44.55%
    Avispa Fukuoka 27.4%
    Draw 28.03%
FC TokyoDrawAvispa Fukuoka
1-0 @ 13.53% (0.89 0.89)
2-0 @ 8.85% (0.373 0.37)
2-1 @ 8.5% (-0.15 -0.15)
3-0 @ 3.86% (0.069 0.07)
3-1 @ 3.71% (-0.161 -0.16)
3-2 @ 1.78% (-0.194 -0.19)
4-0 @ 1.26% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.21% (-0.085 -0.09)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 44.55%
1-1 @ 12.99% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 10.34% (0.915 0.91)
2-2 @ 4.08% (-0.332 -0.33)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 28.03%
0-1 @ 9.94% (0.32 0.32)
1-2 @ 6.24% (-0.34 -0.34)
0-2 @ 4.77% (-0.135 -0.14)
1-3 @ 2% (-0.241 -0.24)
0-3 @ 1.53% (-0.141 -0.14)
2-3 @ 1.31% (-0.195 -0.2)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 27.4%

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Form Guide
Last Game: FC Tokyo 2-2 Vissel Kobe
Saturday, August 26 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Yokohama 2-1 FC Tokyo
Saturday, August 19 at 11.30am in J1 League
Last Game: FC Tokyo 2-0 Kyoto Sanga
Saturday, August 12 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Cerezo 0-1 FC Tokyo
Sunday, August 6 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: FC Tokyo 1-3 Kashima Antlers
Sunday, July 16 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Urawa 0-0 FC Tokyo
Saturday, July 8 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 2-0 Avispa Fukuoka
Saturday, August 26 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 0-1 Albirex Niigata
Friday, August 18 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 2-0 Yokohama FC
Saturday, August 12 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 0-1 Avispa Fukuoka
Sunday, August 6 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Shonan Bellmare 0-1 Avispa Fukuoka
Sunday, July 16 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 2-1 Consadole
Saturday, July 8 at 11am in J1 League


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