Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Avispa Fukuoka win with a probability of 38.66%. A win for FC Tokyo had a probability of 31.34% and a draw had a probability of 30%.
The most likely scoreline for an Avispa Fukuoka win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.71%) and 2-1 (7.48%). The likeliest FC Tokyo win was 0-1 (12.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.44%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Avispa Fukuoka would win this match.
