Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gamba Osaka win with a probability of 43.32%. A win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 29.77% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gamba Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Avispa Fukuoka win was 0-1 (9.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
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