Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashiwa Reysol win with a probability of 42.4%. A draw had a probability of 29.3% and a win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 28.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kashiwa Reysol win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.6%) and 1-2 (8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.24%), while for an Avispa Fukuoka win it was 1-0 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
Avispa Fukuoka	Draw	Kashiwa Reysol
28.34% ( -0.19)	29.26% ( -0.09)	42.4% ( 0.27)

Both teams to score 42.45% (

0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.05% (

0.21)

63.95% (

-0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.85% (

0.15)

83.15% (

-0.15)

Avispa Fukuoka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.55% (

-0.03)

39.45% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.86% (

-0.03)

76.14% (

0.03)

Kashiwa Reysol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.1% (

0.26)

29.9% (

-0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34% (

0.31)

66% (

-0.31)

Score Analysis

Avispa Fukuoka 28.33%

Kashiwa Reysol 42.4%

Draw 29.25%

Avispa Fukuoka	Draw	Kashiwa Reysol
1-0 @ 10.97% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 6.16% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 5.1% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 1.91% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.58% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.15% ( 0) Other @ 1.46% Total : 28.33%	1-1 @ 13.24% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 11.79% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 3.72% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.5% Total : 29.25%	0-1 @ 14.23% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8.6% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 8% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 3.46% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 3.22% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.38% Total : 42.4%