Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashiwa Reysol win with a probability of 40.17%. A win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 30.12% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kashiwa Reysol win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.07%) and 2-1 (7.7%). The likeliest Avispa Fukuoka win was 0-1 (11.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Kashiwa Reysol in this match.
