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J1 League | Gameweek 32
Sep 28, 2024 at 11am UK
Ekimae Real Estate Stadium (Tosu)

Sagan Tosu
0 - 0
Avispa Fukuoka


Sakaiya (79')
FT

Tashiro (4'), Konno (33'), Miya (84')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sagan Tosu and Avispa Fukuoka.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Tokyo Verdy 2-0 Sagan Tosu
Sunday, September 22 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Jubilo Iwata 0-0 Avispa Fukuoka
Saturday, September 21 at 11am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Avispa Fukuoka win with a probability of 38.79%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 34.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Avispa Fukuoka win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 (9.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.

Result
Sagan TosuDrawAvispa Fukuoka
34.41% (0.122 0.12) 26.8% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 38.79% (-0.145 -0.15)
Both teams to score 51.39% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.3% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)53.7% (0.067 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.81% (-0.058 -0.06)75.19% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Sagan Tosu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.39% (0.045000000000002 0.05)29.61% (-0.047999999999998 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.35% (0.054000000000002 0.05)65.64% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Avispa Fukuoka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73% (-0.113 -0.11)27% (0.111 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.65% (-0.146 -0.15)62.34% (0.144 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Sagan Tosu 34.41%
    Avispa Fukuoka 38.78%
    Draw 26.79%
Sagan TosuDrawAvispa Fukuoka
1-0 @ 9.73% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 7.75% (0.015 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.92% (0.03 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.15% (0.01 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.4% (0.015 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.06%
4-1 @ 0.96% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 34.41%
1-1 @ 12.73%
0-0 @ 7.99% (0.021 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.08% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Other @ 1%
Total : 26.79%
0-1 @ 10.46% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.34% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.85% (-0.025 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.64% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.99% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.22% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.19% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-4 @ 0.98% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 38.78%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Tokyo Verdy 2-0 Sagan Tosu
Sunday, September 22 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Kawasaki 3-2 Sagan Tosu
Friday, September 13 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 1-2 Shonan Bellmare
Saturday, August 31 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Vissel Kobe 2-0 Sagan Tosu
Sunday, August 25 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Consadole 5-3 Sagan Tosu
Friday, August 16 at 11.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 1-1 Urawa
Sunday, August 11 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Jubilo Iwata 0-0 Avispa Fukuoka
Saturday, September 21 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 0-3 Machida Zelvia
Saturday, September 14 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 0-2 Vissel Kobe
Sunday, September 1 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Gamba Osaka 2-2 Avispa Fukuoka
Saturday, August 24 at 10.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Gamba Osaka 2-2 Avispa Fukuoka
Saturday, August 24 at 10.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 0-1 Albirex Niigata
Saturday, August 17 at 11.30am in J1 League


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