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J1 League | Gameweek 28
Sep 23, 2023 at 11am UK
SANKYO FRONTIER Kashiwa Stadium

Reysol
1 - 3
Avispa Fukuoka

Diego (13')
Diego (52')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Konno (54', 56'), Kanamori (65')
Mikuni (90+5')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Kashiwa Reysol and Avispa Fukuoka.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Yokohama FC 1-2 Reysol
Sunday, September 17 at 10.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 1-0 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, September 16 at 11am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashiwa Reysol win with a probability of 38.76%. A win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 32.87% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kashiwa Reysol win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.98%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Avispa Fukuoka win was 0-1 (10.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result
Kashiwa ReysolDrawAvispa Fukuoka
38.76% (-0.125 -0.13) 28.37% (0.0069999999999979 0.01) 32.87% (0.114 0.11)
Both teams to score 46.41% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.18% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)59.82% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.9% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)80.1% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Kashiwa Reysol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.04% (-0.078999999999994 -0.08)29.96% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.93% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)66.07% (0.090000000000003 0.09)
Avispa Fukuoka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.26% (0.076999999999998 0.08)33.74% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.6% (0.084 0.08)70.4% (-0.087999999999994 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Kashiwa Reysol 38.76%
    Avispa Fukuoka 32.87%
    Draw 28.35%
Kashiwa ReysolDrawAvispa Fukuoka
1-0 @ 12.18% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 7.98% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.34% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.21% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.95% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.74% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 0.97% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 38.76%
1-1 @ 13.23%
0-0 @ 10.1%
2-2 @ 4.33% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 28.35%
0-1 @ 10.98% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
1-2 @ 7.19% (0.017 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.97% (0.027 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.6% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.16% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.57% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 32.87%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Yokohama FC 1-2 Reysol
Sunday, September 17 at 10.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Reysol 2-0 Yokohama
Saturday, September 2 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Reysol 0-0 Hiroshima
Saturday, August 26 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Vissel Kobe 1-1 Reysol
Saturday, August 19 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Reysol 1-1 Cerezo
Saturday, August 12 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 0-1 Reysol
Sunday, August 6 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 1-0 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, September 16 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: FC Tokyo 1-2 Avispa Fukuoka
Sunday, September 3 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 2-0 Avispa Fukuoka
Saturday, August 26 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 0-1 Albirex Niigata
Friday, August 18 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 2-0 Yokohama FC
Saturday, August 12 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 0-1 Avispa Fukuoka
Sunday, August 6 at 11am in J1 League


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