SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AVS win with a probability of 49.04%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 24.55%.
The most likely scoreline for an AVS win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.56%) and 2-1 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 0-1 (8.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for AVS in this match.
| Result | ||
| AVS | Draw | Rio Ave |
49.04% ( 0.23) | 26.41% ( -0.05) | 24.55% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 47.29% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.56% ( 0.07) | 56.44% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.56% ( 0.06) | 77.45% ( -0.05) |
| AVS Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.93% ( 0.14) | 23.07% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.09% ( 0.2) | 56.91% ( -0.19) |
| Rio Ave Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.48% ( -0.12) | 38.52% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.73% ( -0.11) | 75.27% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| AVS | Draw | Rio Ave |
| 1-0 @ 13.03% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 9.56% ( 0.05)2-1 @ 9.12% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.67% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 4.46% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.13% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.71% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.63% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.73% Total : 49.04% | 1-1 @ 12.43% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.89% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.35% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.74% Total : 26.41% | 0-1 @ 8.48% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 5.93% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 4.04% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.54% Total : 24.55% |
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