Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 52.85%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 22.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.7%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.64%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 0-1 (7.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.
Result | ||
Swansea City | Draw | Rio Ave |
52.85% ( 0.39) | 24.49% ( -0.14) | 22.67% ( -0.25) |
Both teams to score 50.85% ( 0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.25% ( 0.3) | 50.75% ( -0.3) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.36% ( 0.26) | 72.64% ( -0.26) |
Swansea City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.84% ( 0.27) | 19.16% ( -0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.18% ( 0.44) | 50.82% ( -0.44) |
Rio Ave Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.9% ( -0.07) | 37.1% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.11% ( -0.07) | 73.89% ( 0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Swansea City | Draw | Rio Ave |
1-0 @ 11.74% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 9.7% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.62% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 5.35% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 5.3% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.63% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.21% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 2.19% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.02% Total : 52.84% | 1-1 @ 11.64% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 7.11% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 4.77% ( 0) Other @ 0.96% Total : 24.48% | 0-1 @ 7.05% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 5.77% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 3.49% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.58% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.71% Total : 22.67% |
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