SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 77.97%. A draw had a probability of 13.4% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 8.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.37%) and 2-1 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.05%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 1-2 (2.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Rio Ave |
77.97% ( 0.04) | 13.41% ( -0.02) | 8.62% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 54.59% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.57% ( 0.02) | 28.42% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 50.73% ( 0.02) | 49.27% ( -0.02) |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.15% ( 0.01) | 5.84% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 77.56% ( 0.03) | 22.44% ( -0.03) |
| Rio Ave Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.98% ( -0.03) | 42.02% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.55% ( -0.03) | 78.45% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Rio Ave |
| 2-0 @ 9.9% ( 0) 3-0 @ 9.37% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 8.58% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 8.13% 1-0 @ 6.97% ( -0)4-0 @ 6.65% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 5.77% ( 0)5-0 @ 3.78% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.52% ( -0)5-1 @ 3.28% ( 0)4-2 @ 2.5% ( -0)6-0 @ 1.79% ( 0)6-1 @ 1.55% ( 0)5-2 @ 1.42% ( 0)Other @ 4.75% Total : 77.97% | 1-1 @ 6.05% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.72% ( -0)0-0 @ 2.46% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 13.41% | 1-2 @ 2.62% ( -0) 0-1 @ 2.13% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.08% ( -0)0-2 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 1.87% Total : 8.62% |
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