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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 2
Aug 17, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube
FL

Rio Ave
1 - 0
Farense

Patrick (32')
Freire (40')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Neto (39')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 3-1 Rio Ave
Friday, August 9 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Farense 1-2 Moreirense
Sunday, August 11 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Rio Ave 1-1 SC Farense

Despite losing five of their previous seven road matches dating back to 23-24, Farense have found the net in all but one match during that run. We expect their goalscoring form to continue this weekend, even if the spoils are expected to be shared against a Rio Ave side that have not lost on their turf since November 2023. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 50.61%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 24.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.74%), while for a SC Farense win it was 0-1 (7.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Rio Ave in this match.

Result
Rio AveDrawSC Farense
50.61% (0.988 0.99) 24.71% (-0.3 -0.3) 24.68% (-0.682 -0.68)
Both teams to score 52.41% (0.269 0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.21% (0.679 0.68)49.78% (-0.674 -0.67)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.21% (0.606 0.61)71.79% (-0.59999999999999 -0.6)
Rio Ave Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.32% (0.678 0.68)19.68% (-0.671 -0.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.34% (1.085 1.09)51.66% (-1.081 -1.08)
SC Farense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.25% (-0.21300000000001 -0.21)34.75% (0.218 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.52% (-0.227 -0.23)71.48% (0.232 0.23)
Score Analysis
    Rio Ave 50.61%
    SC Farense 24.68%
    Draw 24.7%
Rio AveDrawSC Farense
1-0 @ 11.11% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-1 @ 9.55% (0.081 0.08)
2-0 @ 9.04% (0.129 0.13)
3-1 @ 5.18% (0.15 0.15)
3-0 @ 4.9% (0.17 0.17)
3-2 @ 2.74% (0.064 0.06)
4-1 @ 2.1% (0.103 0.1)
4-0 @ 1.99% (0.109 0.11)
4-2 @ 1.11% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 50.61%
1-1 @ 11.74% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-0 @ 6.84% (-0.189 -0.19)
2-2 @ 5.05% (0.013 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.96% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.7%
0-1 @ 7.23% (-0.244 -0.24)
1-2 @ 6.21% (-0.115 -0.12)
0-2 @ 3.82% (-0.153 -0.15)
1-3 @ 2.19% (-0.053 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.78% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.35% (-0.062 -0.06)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 24.68%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 3-1 Rio Ave
Friday, August 9 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Swansea 3-0 Rio Ave
Saturday, August 3 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Rio Ave 1-1 Nacional
Wednesday, July 31 at 10.30am in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Rio Ave 1-2 Santa Clara
Saturday, July 27 at 11am in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Gil Vicente 2-1 Rio Ave
Wednesday, July 24 at 11am in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Rio Ave 3-2 Arouca
Saturday, July 20 at 11am in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Farense 1-2 Moreirense
Sunday, August 11 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Portimonense 0-0 Farense
Friday, August 2 at 8pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Farense 1-1 Al-Nassr
Saturday, July 20 at 8pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Maritimo 0-1 Farense
Wednesday, July 17 at 10am in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Farense 1-3 Portimonense
Saturday, May 18 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Gil Vicente 2-0 Farense
Sunday, May 12 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga


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