SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 46.4%. A win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 29.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-2 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ayr United | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
46.4% ( 0.55) | 24.27% ( 0.01) | 29.33% ( -0.55) |
| Both teams to score 57.73% ( -0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.41% ( -0.33) | 44.59% ( 0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.05% ( -0.32) | 66.95% ( 0.32) |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.65% ( 0.1) | 19.35% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.87% ( 0.16) | 51.13% ( -0.16) |
| Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.58% ( -0.54) | 28.42% ( 0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.82% ( -0.69) | 64.18% ( 0.68) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ayr United | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
| 2-1 @ 9.33% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 9.03% ( 0.15)2-0 @ 7.42% ( 0.15)3-1 @ 5.11% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 4.06% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 3.21% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.1% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.67% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.32% ( -0)Other @ 3.14% Total : 46.4% | 1-1 @ 11.36% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.87% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 5.5% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.27% | 1-2 @ 7.15% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 6.92% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.35% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 3% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.69% Total : 29.33% |
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