SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 40.81%. A win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 33.31% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
40.81% ( -0.11) | 25.88% ( -0.04) | 33.31% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 54.13% ( 0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.92% ( 0.24) | 50.08% ( -0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.95% ( 0.22) | 72.05% ( -0.21) |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.74% ( 0.05) | 24.26% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.38% ( 0.07) | 58.62% ( -0.07) |
| Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.47% ( 0.22) | 28.53% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.69% ( 0.28) | 64.31% ( -0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 9.8% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 8.71% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.94% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 4.11% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.28% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.58% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.46% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.16% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.86% Total : 40.81% | 1-1 @ 12.29% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.92% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 5.46% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.88% | 0-1 @ 8.68% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.71% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 5.44% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.22% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.68% Total : 33.31% |
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