Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 51.21%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Ayr United had a probability of 23.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.79%), while for an Ayr United win it was 0-1 (7.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dunfermline Athletic would win this match.
