SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 39.79%. A win for Partick Thistle had a probability of 35.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest Partick Thistle win was 0-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ayr United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ayr United | Draw | Partick Thistle |
39.79% ( -1.81) | 25.1% ( 0.18) | 35.1% ( 1.62) |
| Both teams to score 57.19% ( -0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.69% ( -0.5) | 46.31% ( 0.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.4% ( -0.48) | 68.6% ( 0.47) |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.9% ( -1.11) | 23.1% ( 1.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.05% ( -1.65) | 56.95% ( 1.64) |
| Partick Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.37% ( 0.72) | 25.63% ( -0.72) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.47% ( 0.97) | 60.52% ( -0.97) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ayr United | Draw | Partick Thistle |
| 1-0 @ 8.68% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 8.65% ( -0.21)2-0 @ 6.36% ( -0.29)3-1 @ 4.23% ( -0.25)3-0 @ 3.11% ( -0.25)3-2 @ 2.88% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 1.55% ( -0.15)4-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.13)4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.16% Total : 39.79% | 1-1 @ 11.81% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 5.92% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 5.89% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.1% | 0-1 @ 8.06% ( 0.33) 1-2 @ 8.04% ( 0.23)0-2 @ 5.49% ( 0.33)1-3 @ 3.65% ( 0.18)2-3 @ 2.67% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.2)1-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.09)2-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.55% Total : 35.1% |
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