Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Partick Thistle win with a probability of 39.32%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 34.43% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Partick Thistle win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.49%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 1-0 (9.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Partick Thistle would win this match.
Result | ||
Ayr United | Draw | Partick Thistle |
34.43% ( 0.03) | 26.25% ( -0) | 39.32% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 53.19% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.58% ( 0.02) | 51.41% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.77% ( 0.02) | 73.22% ( -0.02) |
Ayr United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.53% ( 0.03) | 28.47% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.76% ( 0.04) | 64.24% ( -0.04) |
Partick Thistle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.35% ( -0.01) | 25.64% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.45% ( -0.01) | 60.54% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Ayr United | Draw | Partick Thistle |
1-0 @ 9.17% 2-1 @ 7.84% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.76% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.28% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.41% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.23% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 2.7% Total : 34.44% | 1-1 @ 12.48% 0-0 @ 7.3% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.34% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.24% | 0-1 @ 9.94% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.49% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.76% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.85% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.07% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.42% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.31% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.04% ( -0) Other @ 2.43% Total : 39.32% |
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