SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Partick Thistle win with a probability of 44.67%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 31.08% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Partick Thistle win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.56%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 1-2 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Partick Thistle | Draw | Ayr United |
44.67% ( 0.75) | 24.25% ( -0.1) | 31.08% ( -0.64) |
| Both teams to score 58.82% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.4% ( 0.2) | 43.6% ( -0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.01% ( 0.2) | 65.99% ( -0.2) |
| Partick Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.32% ( 0.41) | 19.68% ( -0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.32% ( 0.66) | 51.68% ( -0.66) |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.23% ( -0.3) | 26.77% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.95% ( -0.41) | 62.05% ( 0.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Partick Thistle | Draw | Ayr United |
| 2-1 @ 9.17% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 8.56% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 6.96% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 4.97% ( 0.1)3-0 @ 3.77% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 3.28% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 2.02% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 1.53% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 1.33% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.07% Total : 44.67% | 1-1 @ 11.28% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 6.05% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.27% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.44% ( 0)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.24% | 1-2 @ 7.44% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 6.94% ( -0.12)0-2 @ 4.58% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 3.27% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 2.66% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.11% Total : 31.08% |
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