SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 48.62%. A win for Queen's Park had a probability of 26.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Queen's Park win was 0-1 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ayr United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ayr United | Draw | Queen's Park |
48.62% ( -1.35) | 24.68% ( 0.55) | 26.71% ( 0.8) |
| Both teams to score 54.4% ( -1.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.94% ( -1.76) | 48.07% ( 1.77) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.77% ( -1.64) | 70.23% ( 1.64) |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.19% ( -1.23) | 19.81% ( 1.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.11% ( -2.04) | 51.89% ( 2.04) |
| Queen's Park Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.85% ( -0.29) | 32.16% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.36% ( -0.34) | 68.64% ( 0.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ayr United | Draw | Queen's Park |
| 1-0 @ 10.31% ( 0.35) 2-1 @ 9.47% ( -0.12)2-0 @ 8.35% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 5.11% ( -0.27)3-0 @ 4.51% ( -0.2)3-2 @ 2.9% ( -0.18)4-1 @ 2.07% ( -0.2)4-0 @ 1.82% ( -0.16)4-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.12)Other @ 2.91% Total : 48.61% | 1-1 @ 11.7% ( 0.31) 0-0 @ 6.37% ( 0.45)2-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.11)3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.68% | 0-1 @ 7.23% ( 0.46) 1-2 @ 6.64% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 4.1% ( 0.23)1-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.64% Total : 26.71% |
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