SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen's Park win with a probability of 39.48%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 35.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen's Park win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (6.43%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 0-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Queen's Park | Draw | Ayr United |
39.48% ( -0.21) | 25.39% ( 0.01) | 35.13% ( 0.2) |
| Both teams to score 56.19% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.39% ( -0.02) | 47.61% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.19% ( -0.02) | 69.81% ( 0.02) |
| Queen's Park Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.16% ( -0.12) | 23.84% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.98% ( -0.17) | 58.02% ( 0.17) |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.77% ( 0.11) | 26.23% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.67% ( 0.14) | 61.33% ( -0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Queen's Park | Draw | Ayr United |
| 1-0 @ 8.97% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.6% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 6.43% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 4.11% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.07% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.75% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.47% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.1% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.99% Total : 39.48% | 1-1 @ 11.99% 0-0 @ 6.25% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.76% 3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.39% | 0-1 @ 8.37% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.03% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 5.6% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 3.58% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.57% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.2% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.29% Total : 35.13% |
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