SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 50.54%. A win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 25.06% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.78%). The likeliest Greenock Morton win was 0-1 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ayr United in this match.
| Result | ||
| Ayr United | Draw | Greenock Morton |
50.54% ( 0.05) | 24.4% ( 0.25) | 25.06% ( -0.3) |
| Both teams to score 53.79% ( -1.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.85% ( -1.32) | 48.15% ( 1.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.69% ( -1.22) | 70.31% ( 1.22) |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.93% ( -0.49) | 19.07% ( 0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.33% ( -0.82) | 50.67% ( 0.81) |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.46% ( -0.96) | 33.54% ( 0.95) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.82% ( -1.06) | 70.18% ( 1.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ayr United | Draw | Greenock Morton |
| 1-0 @ 10.59% ( 0.41) 2-1 @ 9.59% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 8.78% ( 0.21)3-1 @ 5.3% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 4.85% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.9% ( -0.13)4-1 @ 2.2% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 2.01% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.12% Total : 50.53% | 1-1 @ 11.57% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 6.4% ( 0.34)2-2 @ 5.24% ( -0.15)3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.39% | 0-1 @ 6.99% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 6.33% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 3.82% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.33% Total : 25.07% |
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