SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 44.93%. A win for Queen's Park had a probability of 30.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Queen's Park win was 1-2 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ayr United | Draw | Queen's Park |
44.93% ( -0.18) | 24.47% ( -0.02) | 30.6% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 57.81% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.18% ( 0.17) | 44.82% ( -0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.83% ( 0.17) | 67.17% ( -0.17) |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.94% ( -0.01) | 20.06% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.71% ( -0.01) | 52.29% ( 0.01) |
| Queen's Park Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.32% ( 0.21) | 27.68% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.76% ( 0.27) | 63.24% ( -0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ayr United | Draw | Queen's Park |
| 2-1 @ 9.2% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.92% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 7.17% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 4.93% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.84% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.16% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.98% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.54% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.27% ( 0)Other @ 2.93% Total : 44.93% | 1-1 @ 11.45% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.91% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 5.55% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.46% | 1-2 @ 7.36% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 7.13% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.58% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.15% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.87% Total : 30.6% |
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