SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen's Park win with a probability of 43.09%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 30.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen's Park win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 0-1 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Queen's Park | Draw | Ayr United |
43.09% ( -0.04) | 26.33% ( 0.01) | 30.58% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 51.71% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.24% ( -0.02) | 52.76% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.61% ( -0.02) | 74.39% ( 0.03) |
| Queen's Park Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.71% ( -0.03) | 24.29% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.33% ( -0.04) | 58.67% ( 0.05) |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.3% ( 0.01) | 31.71% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.88% ( 0.01) | 68.13% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Queen's Park | Draw | Ayr United |
| 1-0 @ 10.89% 2-1 @ 8.86% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.71% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.18% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.64% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.4% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.48% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.29% ( -0)Other @ 2.65% Total : 43.09% | 1-1 @ 12.51% 0-0 @ 7.7% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.09% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.32% | 0-1 @ 8.85% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.19% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.08% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.75% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.95% 0-3 @ 1.95% ( 0)Other @ 2.82% Total : 30.58% |
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