SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Moscow win with a probability of 47.04%. A win for Baltika had a probability of 28.26% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.37%) and 0-2 (7.89%). The likeliest Baltika win was 1-0 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dynamo Moscow would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Baltika | Draw | Dynamo Moscow |
28.26% ( -1.1) | 24.7% ( 0.1) | 47.04% ( 1) |
| Both teams to score 55.54% ( -1.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.87% ( -1.07) | 47.13% ( 1.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.64% ( -1.01) | 69.36% ( 1.01) |
| Baltika Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.51% ( -1.33) | 30.48% ( 1.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.3% ( -1.61) | 66.7% ( 1.62) |
| Dynamo Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.9% ( -0.01) | 20.1% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.65% ( -0.02) | 52.35% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Baltika | Draw | Dynamo Moscow |
| 1-0 @ 7.28% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 6.94% ( -0.2)2-0 @ 4.32% ( -0.13)3-1 @ 2.75% ( -0.19)3-2 @ 2.2% ( -0.15)3-0 @ 1.71% ( -0.12)Other @ 3.06% Total : 28.26% | 1-1 @ 11.67% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.13% ( 0.27)2-2 @ 5.57% ( -0.17)3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.69% | 0-1 @ 9.83% ( 0.43) 1-2 @ 9.37% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 7.89% ( 0.34)1-3 @ 5.01% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 4.22% ( 0.18)2-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.09)1-4 @ 2.01% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.69% ( 0.07)2-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.85% Total : 47.04% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
