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Russian Premier League | Gameweek 21
Apr 24, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadion Gazovik
DM

Orenburg
1 - 2
Dynamo Moscow

Mansilla (77')
Perez (16'), Ghorbani (76'), Malykh (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Tyukavin (55'), Ngamaleu (72')
Shunin (90+4'), Fomin (90+4')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Orenburg and Dynamo Moscow.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Zenit 1-0 Orenburg
Sunday, April 21 at 2.15pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Nizhny Novgorod 1-4 Dynamo Moscow
Sunday, April 21 at 12pm in Russian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orenburg win with a probability of 39.95%. A win for Dynamo Moscow had a probability of 35.5% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orenburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.03%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest Dynamo Moscow win was 1-2 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result
OrenburgDrawDynamo Moscow
39.95% (0.071000000000005 0.07) 24.54% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02) 35.5% (-0.055 -0.05)
Both teams to score 59.26% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.34% (0.068999999999996 0.07)43.66% (-0.067 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.95% (0.068999999999996 0.07)66.05% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Orenburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.14% (0.066000000000003 0.07)21.86% (-0.064 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.9% (0.097999999999999 0.1)55.1% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)
Dynamo Moscow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.83% (0.0010000000000048 0)24.17% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.51% (0.00099999999999767 0)58.49% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Score Analysis
    Orenburg 39.95%
    Dynamo Moscow 35.5%
    Draw 24.54%
OrenburgDrawDynamo Moscow
2-1 @ 8.67% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.03% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.11% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 4.4% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.12% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.1% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.67% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.19% (0.006 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.18% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 39.95%
1-1 @ 11.4% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.16% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.28% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.48% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.54%
1-2 @ 8.1% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.5% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.33% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.84% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.92% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 2.52% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.36% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.04% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 35.5%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Zenit 1-0 Orenburg
Sunday, April 21 at 2.15pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Orenburg 3-1 Nizhny Novgorod
Sunday, April 14 at 10am in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Orenburg 3-0 Rubin Kazan
Monday, April 8 at 3pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Fakel 0-0 Orenburg
Sunday, March 31 at 12pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Orenburg 1-0 Baltika
Sunday, March 10 at 11am in Russian Premier League
Last Game: CSKA 1-1 Orenburg
Saturday, March 2 at 11am in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Nizhny Novgorod 1-4 Dynamo Moscow
Sunday, April 21 at 12pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Ural 2-1 Dynamo Moscow
Sunday, April 14 at 12.15pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Dynamo Moscow 1-2 Spartak Moscow
Sunday, April 7 at 5.30pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Dynamo Moscow 1-4 Rostov
Friday, March 29 at 4.30pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Dynamo Moscow 2-0 Akhmat Grozny
Saturday, March 9 at 4pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Dynamo Moscow 2-1 Lokomotiv
Sunday, March 3 at 1.30pm in Russian Premier League


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