SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 46.16%. A win for Dynamo Moscow had a probability of 29.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.31%) and 0-2 (7.61%). The likeliest Dynamo Moscow win was 1-0 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dynamo Moscow | Draw | Zenit St Petersburg |
29.18% ( 0.03) | 24.66% ( -0) | 46.16% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 56.3% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.59% ( 0.02) | 46.42% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.3% ( 0.02) | 68.7% ( -0.02) |
| Dynamo Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.54% ( 0.03) | 29.46% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.54% ( 0.04) | 65.47% ( -0.04) |
| Zenit St Petersburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.82% ( -0) | 20.19% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.51% ( -0.01) | 52.49% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dynamo Moscow | Draw | Zenit St Petersburg |
| 1-0 @ 7.27% 2-1 @ 7.11% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 4.44% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.9% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.32% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.81% ( 0)Other @ 3.34% Total : 29.18% | 1-1 @ 11.63% 0-0 @ 5.95% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.69% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.24% ( 0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.66% | 0-1 @ 9.52% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.31% ( -0)0-2 @ 7.61% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.96% ( -0)0-3 @ 4.06% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.03% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.99% 0-4 @ 1.63% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.21% Other @ 2.85% Total : 46.16% |
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