SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Moscow win with a probability of 40.89%. A win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 33.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.71%) and 0-2 (6.97%). The likeliest Nizhny Novgorod win was 1-0 (8.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dynamo Moscow would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nizhny Novgorod | Draw | Dynamo Moscow |
33.2% ( 0.16) | 25.9% ( -0.01) | 40.89% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 54.03% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.8% ( 0.05) | 50.19% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.84% ( 0.05) | 72.15% ( -0.05) |
| Nizhny Novgorod Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.35% ( 0.13) | 28.65% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.54% ( 0.16) | 64.46% ( -0.16) |
| Dynamo Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.73% ( -0.06) | 24.27% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.37% ( -0.08) | 58.63% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nizhny Novgorod | Draw | Dynamo Moscow |
| 1-0 @ 8.69% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.69% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 5.43% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.21% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.27% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.26% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.65% Total : 33.2% | 1-1 @ 12.3% 0-0 @ 6.95% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.45% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.9% | 0-1 @ 9.84% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 8.71% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 6.97% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 4.11% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.29% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.57% 1-4 @ 1.46% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 1.86% Total : 40.89% |
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