Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Banfield win with a probability of 40.75%. A draw had a probability of 32.4% and a win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 26.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Banfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.72%) and 2-1 (6.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (16.33%), while for a Velez Sarsfield win it was 0-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
Banfield	Draw	Velez Sarsfield
40.75% ( 0.02)	32.36% ( 0.31)	26.89% ( -0.33)

Both teams to score 34.85% (

-0.77)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

27.26% (

-0.82)

72.74% (

0.83)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

11.07% (

-0.5)

88.93% (

0.5)

Banfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.43% (

-0.46)

35.57% (

0.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.66% (

-0.48)

72.34% (

0.48)

Velez Sarsfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.09% (

-0.81)

45.91% (

0.81)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.35% (

-0.64)

81.65% (

0.64)

Score Analysis

Banfield 40.74%

Velez Sarsfield 26.88%

Draw 32.36%

Banfield	Draw	Velez Sarsfield
1-0 @ 16.87% ( 0.3) 2-0 @ 8.72% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 6.79% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 3.01% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.34% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.1% Total : 40.74%	0-0 @ 16.33% ( 0.5) 1-1 @ 13.14% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 2.64% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.25% Total : 32.36%	0-1 @ 12.71% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 5.12% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 4.95% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.5% Total : 26.88%