SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bangladesh win with a probability of 64.81%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Maldives had a probability of 14.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bangladesh win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.64%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10%), while for a Maldives win it was 0-1 (5.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bangladesh would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bangladesh | Draw | Maldives |
64.81% ( -0.65) | 21.15% ( 0.23) | 14.04% ( 0.41) |
| Both teams to score 45.41% ( 0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.15% ( -0.1) | 49.85% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.15% ( -0.09) | 71.85% ( 0.09) |
| Bangladesh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.35% ( -0.24) | 14.65% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.21% ( -0.45) | 42.79% ( 0.45) |
| Maldives Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.21% ( 0.57) | 46.79% ( -0.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.67% ( 0.43) | 82.32% ( -0.44) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bangladesh | Draw | Maldives |
| 1-0 @ 13.16% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 12.64% ( -0.16)2-1 @ 9.6% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 8.1% ( -0.17)3-1 @ 6.15% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 3.89% ( -0.12)4-1 @ 2.95% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.34% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 1.49% ( -0.06)5-1 @ 1.13% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.12% ( 0)Other @ 2.23% Total : 64.8% | 1-1 @ 10% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 6.86% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 3.65% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.65% Total : 21.15% | 0-1 @ 5.21% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 3.8% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 1.98% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.17% Total : 14.04% |
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