SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bangladesh win with a probability of 68.14%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Afghanistan had a probability of 11.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bangladesh win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.41%) and 3-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.44%), while for an Afghanistan win it was 0-1 (4.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bangladesh | Draw | Afghanistan |
68.14% ( 0.9) | 20.53% ( -0.38) | 11.33% ( -0.52) |
| Both teams to score 39.8% ( -0.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.82% ( 0.27) | 53.18% ( -0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.25% ( 0.23) | 74.74% ( -0.23) |
| Bangladesh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.32% ( 0.38) | 14.68% ( -0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.15% ( 0.71) | 42.85% ( -0.71) |
| Afghanistan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 46.65% ( -0.78) | 53.34% ( 0.78) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 13.13% ( -0.49) | 86.86% ( 0.49) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bangladesh | Draw | Afghanistan |
| 1-0 @ 15.02% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 14.41% ( 0.23)3-0 @ 9.22% ( 0.26)2-1 @ 9.06% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 5.79% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 4.42% ( 0.18)4-1 @ 2.78% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 1.7% ( 0.09)5-1 @ 1.07% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.85% Total : 68.13% | 1-1 @ 9.44% ( -0.19) 0-0 @ 7.83% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 2.85% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.41% Total : 20.53% | 0-1 @ 4.92% ( -0.17) 1-2 @ 2.97% ( -0.13)0-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.09)Other @ 1.89% Total : 11.33% |
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