Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 40.45%. A win for Barcelona SC had a probability of 31.91% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (7.55%). The likeliest Barcelona SC win was 1-0 (10.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.
-0.01) 
0.06) 
