Having lost convincingly in the reverse fixture, Barcelona are clear underdogs to get anything from this game. While we feel that their attacking approach could lead to a goal, it may only be a consolation with Palmeiras' superior quality expected to prove decisive.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 78.46%. A draw had a probability of 13.9% and a win for Barcelona SC had a probability of 7.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.7%) and 1-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.55%), while for a Barcelona SC win it was 0-1 (2.47%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.
0.24) 
-0.12) 
