Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bari win with a probability of 44.88%. A win for Mantova had a probability of 27.84% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bari win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest Mantova win was 0-1 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bari would win this match.

Result
Bari	Draw	Mantova
44.88% ( 0.21)	27.28% ( -0.05)	27.84% ( -0.16)

Both teams to score 47.41% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.43% (

0.11)

57.56% (

-0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.65% (

0.09)

78.34% (

-0.09)

Bari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.45% (

0.16)

25.55% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.59% (

0.21)

60.41% (

-0.22)

Mantova Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.68% (

-0.07)

36.32% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.89% (

-0.07)

73.1% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Bari 44.88%

Mantova 27.84%

Draw 27.27%

Bari	Draw	Mantova
1-0 @ 12.66% 2-1 @ 8.75% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.64% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.98% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.93% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.02% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.36% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.34% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.2% Total : 44.88%	1-1 @ 12.82% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 9.28% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.43% ( 0) Other @ 0.74% Total : 27.27%	0-1 @ 9.4% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 6.49% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.76% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.5% ( -0) Other @ 1.89% Total : 27.84%