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Serie B | 2nd Leg
May 23, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Stadio Libero Liberati

Ternana
0 - 3
Bari


Dalle Mura (45'), Lucchesi (73'), Luperini (90+4'), Dionisi (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Di Cesare (45+2'), Ricci (52'), Sibilli (65')
Maita (21'), Maiello (22'), Di Cesare (33'), Nasti (61'), Acampora (90')
Bellomo (78')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bari 1-1 Ternana
Thursday, May 16 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Last Game: Bari 1-1 Ternana
Thursday, May 16 at 7.30pm in Serie B

We said: Ternana 1-0 Bari (Ternana win 2-1 on aggregate)

Ternana's last four home games have witnessed not more than one goal — 1-0 wins over Cozenza and Catanzaro either side of a goalless game with Modena and a 1-0 loss to Ascoli — and a similar outcome is expected on Thursday, with the hosts just about edging Bari to retain their Serie B status. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bari win with a probability of 38.76%. A win for Ternana had a probability of 33.27% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bari win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.08%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Ternana win was 1-0 (10.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bari would win this match.

Result
TernanaDrawBari
33.27% (0.00099999999999767 0) 27.97% (0.0010000000000012 0) 38.76%
Both teams to score 47.62%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.65%58.35% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.04%78.96% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Ternana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.3% (0.0010000000000048 0)32.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.75%69.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Bari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.77%29.24% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.81%65.19% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Score Analysis
    Ternana 33.27%
    Bari 38.75%
    Draw 27.97%
TernanaDrawBari
1-0 @ 10.68%
2-1 @ 7.34%
2-0 @ 5.97%
3-1 @ 2.74%
3-0 @ 2.23%
3-2 @ 1.68%
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 33.27%
1-1 @ 13.14%
0-0 @ 9.56% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 4.52%
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 27.97%
0-1 @ 11.75%
1-2 @ 8.08%
0-2 @ 7.23%
1-3 @ 3.31%
0-3 @ 2.96%
2-3 @ 1.85%
1-4 @ 1.02%
0-4 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 38.75%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Bari 1-1 Ternana
Thursday, May 16 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Last Game: FeralpiSalo 0-1 Ternana
Friday, May 10 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Last Game: Ternana 1-0 Catanzaro
Sunday, May 5 at 2pm in Serie B
Last Game: Sudtirol 4-3 Ternana
Wednesday, May 1 at 2pm in Serie B
Last Game: Ternana 0-1 Ascoli
Saturday, April 27 at 1pm in Serie B
Last Game: Brescia 0-0 Ternana
Saturday, April 20 at 1pm in Serie B
Last Game: Bari 1-1 Ternana
Thursday, May 16 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Last Game: Bari 2-0 Brescia
Friday, May 10 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Last Game: Cittadella 1-1 Bari
Sunday, May 5 at 2pm in Serie B
Last Game: Bari 1-1 Parma
Wednesday, May 1 at 5pm in Serie B
Last Game: Cosenza 4-1 Bari
Saturday, April 27 at 3.15pm in Serie B
Last Game: Bari 1-1 Pisa
Saturday, April 20 at 1pm in Serie B


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