Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 45.63%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 28.29% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 0-1 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barrow would win this match.
0.09) 
-0.1) 
