Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 36.96%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 36.31% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.13%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 1-0 (9.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barrow would win this match.
0.01) 
-0.02) 
