Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 46.75%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 27.56% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (8.41%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barrow would win this match.
Result | ||
Barrow | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
46.75% ( -0.13) | 25.69% ( -0.01) | 27.56% ( 0.13) |
Both teams to score 51.89% ( 0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.32% ( 0.12) | 51.67% ( -0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.54% ( 0.1) | 73.45% ( -0.11) |
Barrow Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.9% ( -0.01) | 22.09% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.54% ( -0.01) | 55.45% ( 0) |
Fleetwood Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.61% ( 0.17) | 33.39% ( -0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.98% ( 0.19) | 70.01% ( -0.19) |
Score Analysis |
Barrow | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
1-0 @ 11.13% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.22% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.41% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.64% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.23% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.55% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.75% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.6% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 2.25% Total : 46.74% | 1-1 @ 12.21% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.38% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.06% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.68% | 0-1 @ 8.09% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.7% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 4.44% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.45% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.41% Total : 27.56% |
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