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FT
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Oct 8, 2024 at 7pm UK
Highbury Stadium
B

Fleetwood
3 - 0
Barrow

Harratt (24', 35'), Smith (84')
Broom (15')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Dallas (59'), Eccleston (72')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fleetwood 0-0 Bromley
Saturday, October 5 at 12.30pm in League Two
Last Game: Barrow 2-1 Cheltenham
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Fleetwood Town 2-0 Barrow

Considering Barrow's poor away record, it is difficult to see how they can avoid defeat on Tuesday. Additionally, it would not be surprising if Fleetwood managed to keep a clean sheet given their opponents have struggled to create many chances in the league. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 46.5%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 28.47% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Barrow win was 0-1 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fleetwood Town would win this match.

Result
Fleetwood TownDrawBarrow
46.5% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01) 25.02% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 28.47% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 54.63% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.61% (0.009999999999998 0.01)48.39% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.47% (0.010000000000002 0.01)70.52% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.15% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)20.84% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.47%53.52% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Barrow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.01% (0.013000000000005 0.01)30.98% (-0.017999999999997 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.71% (0.017000000000003 0.02)67.28% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Fleetwood Town 46.5%
    Barrow 28.47%
    Draw 25.02%
Fleetwood TownDrawBarrow
1-0 @ 10.12% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.3% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 7.94% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 4.86%
3-0 @ 4.15% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.85% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 1.91%
4-0 @ 1.63% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 46.5%
1-1 @ 11.86%
0-0 @ 6.46% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-2 @ 5.45% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.11% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.02%
0-1 @ 7.57% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 6.95% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 4.43% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 2.72% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.13% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 1.73% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 28.47%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Fleetwood 0-0 Bromley
Saturday, October 5 at 12.30pm in League Two
Last Game: Walsall 2-6 Fleetwood
Tuesday, October 1 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Cheltenham 0-2 Fleetwood
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Fleetwood 2-2 Morecambe
Monday, September 23 at 8pm in League Two
Last Game: Stoke 1-1 Fleetwood (2-1 pen.)
Tuesday, September 17 at 7.30pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Carlisle 2-3 Fleetwood
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Barrow 2-1 Cheltenham
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Doncaster 1-0 Barrow
Tuesday, October 1 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Gillingham 2-0 Barrow
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Chelsea 5-0 Barrow
Tuesday, September 24 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Barrow 2-0 Newport
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-2 Barrow
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in League Two


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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