Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 48.72%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Colchester United had a probability of 25.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.21%), while for a Colchester United win it was 0-1 (8.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.