SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 57.36%. A win for Aston Villa Under-21s had a probability of 21.68% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.07%) and 1-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Aston Villa Under-21s win was 1-2 (5.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barrow would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Barrow | Draw | Aston Villa Under-21s |
57.36% ( -0.87) | 20.96% ( 0.32) | 21.68% ( 0.54) |
| Both teams to score 61.35% ( -0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.77% ( -0.82) | 36.23% ( 0.81) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.65% ( -0.9) | 58.35% ( 0.89) |
| Barrow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.47% ( -0.51) | 12.53% ( 0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.45% ( -1.06) | 38.55% ( 1.06) |
| Aston Villa Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.13% ( 0.02) | 29.87% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.04% ( 0.02) | 65.96% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Barrow | Draw | Aston Villa Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.07% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 7.77% ( 0.16)3-1 @ 6.75% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 5.59% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 4.08% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 3.51% ( -0.13)4-0 @ 2.9% ( -0.11)4-2 @ 2.12% ( -0.08)5-1 @ 1.46% ( -0.09)5-0 @ 1.21% ( -0.07)Other @ 4.14% Total : 57.36% | 1-1 @ 9.39% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 5.89% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.74% ( 0.15)3-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.29% Total : 20.96% | 1-2 @ 5.68% ( 0.12) 0-1 @ 4.52% ( 0.18)0-2 @ 2.73% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.99% Total : 21.68% |
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