Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Zurich win with a probability of 44.02%. A win for Basel had a probability of 30.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Zurich win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.08%) and 0-2 (7.45%). The likeliest Basel win was 1-0 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
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