SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 49.29%. A win for FC Zurich had a probability of 27.47% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest FC Zurich win was 1-2 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Basel | Draw | FC Zurich |
49.29% ( -0) | 23.24% ( 0) | 27.47% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 59.91% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.91% ( -0.02) | 41.08% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.52% ( -0.02) | 63.48% ( 0.02) |
| Basel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.14% ( -0.01) | 16.86% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.13% ( -0.01) | 46.87% ( 0.01) |
| FC Zurich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.06% ( -0.01) | 27.93% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.44% ( -0.01) | 63.56% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Basel | Draw | FC Zurich |
| 2-1 @ 9.52% 1-0 @ 8.38% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.46% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.65% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.43% 3-2 @ 3.6% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.51% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.97% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.6% ( -0)Other @ 4.15% Total : 49.29% | 1-1 @ 10.69% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.07% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.71% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.53% ( -0)Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.24% | 1-2 @ 6.82% 0-1 @ 6.01% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.83% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.9% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.58% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.63% 1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 2.79% Total : 27.47% |
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