SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 60.76%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for FC Zurich had a probability of 18.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.05%) and 1-0 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.35%), while for a FC Zurich win it was 1-2 (5.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Basel | Draw | FC Zurich |
60.76% ( -1.29) | 20.41% ( 0.42) | 18.82% ( 0.88) |
| Both teams to score 58.43% ( 0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.14% ( -0.49) | 37.86% ( 0.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.88% ( -0.53) | 60.11% ( 0.53) |
| Basel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.92% ( -0.5) | 12.08% ( 0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.39% ( -1.07) | 37.6% ( 1.08) |
| FC Zurich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.46% ( 0.64) | 33.53% ( -0.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.82% ( 0.7) | 70.17% ( -0.69) |
| Score Analysis |
| Basel | Draw | FC Zurich |
| 2-1 @ 9.89% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.05% ( -0.15)1-0 @ 8.56% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 6.97% ( -0.13)3-0 @ 6.38% ( -0.23)3-2 @ 3.81% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.68% ( -0.15)4-0 @ 3.37% ( -0.2)4-2 @ 2.01% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 1.56% ( -0.09)5-0 @ 1.42% ( -0.11)Other @ 4.08% Total : 60.76% | 1-1 @ 9.35% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 5.4% ( 0.1)0-0 @ 4.05% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.22% Total : 20.41% | 1-2 @ 5.11% ( 0.19) 0-1 @ 4.43% ( 0.18)0-2 @ 2.42% ( 0.14)2-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.1)Other @ 3.04% Total : 18.82% |
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