Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Zurich win with a probability of 49.08%. A win for Basel had a probability of 27.5% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Zurich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.58%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Basel win was 1-2 (6.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
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