SM
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Romania | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 2 | Slovakia | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Ukraine | 2 | -2 | 3 |
| 4 | Belgium | 1 | -1 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgium win with a probability of 45.7%. A win for Romania had a probability of 27.25% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (8.79%). The likeliest Romania win was 0-1 (9.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Belgium would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Belgium | Draw | Romania |
45.7% ( 0.13) | 27.05% ( 0.03) | 27.25% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 47.67% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.95% ( -0.2) | 57.04% ( 0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.07% ( -0.16) | 77.93% ( 0.16) |
| Belgium Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.09% ( -0.03) | 24.91% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.47% ( -0.04) | 59.53% ( 0.04) |
| Romania Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.48% ( -0.24) | 36.52% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.69% ( -0.24) | 73.31% ( 0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Belgium | Draw | Romania |
| 1-0 @ 12.64% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 8.85% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.79% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 4.1% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.07% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.43% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.42% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.34% Total : 45.7% | 1-1 @ 12.73% 0-0 @ 9.1% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 4.46% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.04% | 0-1 @ 9.16% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.41% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.86% Total : 27.25% |
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