Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 73.5%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 10.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 3-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.51%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 1-2 (3.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
Result | ||
Benfica | Draw | Gil Vicente |
73.5% (![]() | 16.03% (![]() | 10.46% (![]() |
Both teams to score 51.58% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.21% (![]() | 35.79% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.13% (![]() | 57.86% (![]() |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.62% (![]() | 8.38% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
70.85% (![]() | 29.15% (![]() |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.3% (![]() | 43.7% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.12% (![]() | 79.88% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Benfica | Draw | Gil Vicente |
2-0 @ 11.25% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.32% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 9.3% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 9.08% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.7% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 5.77% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 4.77% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.19% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 2.86% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 2.37% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.98% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 1.18% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 0.98% ( ![]() 6-1 @ 0.98% ( ![]() Other @ 2.78% Total : 73.5% | 1-1 @ 7.51% (![]() 2-2 @ 3.86% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.66% ( ![]() Other @ 1% Total : 16.03% | 1-2 @ 3.11% (![]() 0-1 @ 3.03% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 1.25% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.06% ( ![]() Other @ 2% Total : 10.46% |
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