SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 61.43%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 16.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.98%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.26%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 0-1 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Benfica | Draw | Gil Vicente |
| 61.43% | 21.59% | 16.97% |
| Both teams to score 50.71% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.7% | 46.3% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.41% | 68.59% |
| Benfica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.44% | 14.55% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 57.39% | 42.61% |
| Gil Vicente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.34% | 40.65% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 22.75% | 77.25% |
| Score Analysis |
| Benfica | Draw | Gil Vicente |
| 1-0 @ 11.4% 2-0 @ 10.98% 2-1 @ 9.89% 3-0 @ 7.06% 3-1 @ 6.36% 4-0 @ 3.4% 4-1 @ 3.06% 3-2 @ 2.86% 4-2 @ 1.38% 5-0 @ 1.31% 5-1 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.54% Total : 61.42% | 1-1 @ 10.26% 0-0 @ 5.92% 2-2 @ 4.45% Other @ 0.96% Total : 21.59% | 0-1 @ 5.33% 1-2 @ 4.62% 0-2 @ 2.4% 1-3 @ 1.39% 2-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 1.91% Total : 16.98% |
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