Due to their hosts' chronic ills in the opposition area, Benfica should record a stress-free win to take them one step closer to the title. They may not be back to their illustrious best, but the Eagles can certainly soar clear of a struggling Gil Vicente side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 72.84%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 10.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.21%) and 0-3 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.93%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 1-0 (3.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Benfica in this match.

Result
Gil Vicente	Draw	Benfica
10.45% ( 0.01)	16.71% ( 0.01)	72.84% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 48.89% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.8% (

-0.02)

39.2% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.46% (

-0.02)

61.53% (

0.02)

Gil Vicente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.95%

46.05% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.24%

81.76% (

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.62% (

-0.01)

9.38% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.43% (

-0.02)

31.57% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Gil Vicente 10.45%

Benfica 72.83%

Draw 16.71%

Gil Vicente	Draw	Benfica
1-0 @ 3.35% ( 0) 2-1 @ 3.07% ( 0) 2-0 @ 1.3% ( 0) 3-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.79% Total : 10.45%	1-1 @ 7.93% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.32% ( 0) 2-2 @ 3.64% Other @ 0.83% Total : 16.71%	0-2 @ 12.09% 0-1 @ 10.21% 0-3 @ 9.54% ( -0) 1-2 @ 9.38% ( 0) 1-3 @ 7.4% ( -0) 0-4 @ 5.65% ( -0) 1-4 @ 4.38% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.87% ( -0) 0-5 @ 2.67% ( -0) 1-5 @ 2.07% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.7% ( -0) 0-6 @ 1.06% ( -0) Other @ 3.81% Total : 72.83%